Ukraine War and its Global Impact

It's probably worth mentioning that the latest Kiel statistics ended before the massive recent AFV and tank announcements by a lot of countries were made.
Gonna have to wait for the next update for them to be included, which is kinda dumb because it feels a bit like cutting off right before the finale.

At one point, I discovered from OSINT that Russia provided frequency support and synchronization to Iranian electric infrastructure. At that time, the FSU states still all had one huge electric frequency and reliability structure. Thus, when one of Iran's 1970s era Combined Cycle Natural Gas power plants failed, the effects were felt from St. Petersburg to Vladivostock.

How exactly does one use nuclear arms to de-escalate? I would love to speak to the person who came up with that idea.

One thing you missed when presenting which countries support Ukraine in what capacity, it's important to note the different policies of countries when it comes to announcing aid, especially military kind. This means that you might be underestimating aid coming to Ukraine, particularly from countries to the east, which don't announce everything publicly. Especially if you are basing these from osint sources, idk since no source.

Thank you Bernhard for taking our attention away from Twitter and the video war! Indeed global / backstage focus is most interesting. Especially since the war is likely to extend for several years.
By the way I would be very interested in hearing you on the questions of attrition, (counter)offensives and future operations. I fear that too much pressure is applied to the Ukrainian army to deliver "quick" (2023) strategic results, while the means to achieve operational goals are still too limited. Parallels to 1915 and 1942-43 come to mind. I would love to hear your views on this. And if you could drag the Chieftain into some collab on these questions, so much the better ! 😉

For "few things I dislike more than bureaucrats" you should get a second thumbs up. :D

@MHV very interesting video, résumé of facts backed with sources

I saw another interesting video that explores the relationships between Russia, Iran, Israel, and Syria. The latter three countries have had fairly good relationships with Russia, but not so much with each other. This creates a confusing and not very stable situation.
For example: on the one hand, Israel refused to send/sell its Iron Dome air defense system to Ukraine, but on the other hand bombed an Iranian drone factory in Syria. This attack is actually the main focus of the video that drives the discussion of the wider context.
The video is by James Ker-Lindsy: clip-share.net/video/Gahoy1nInOQ/video.html

Thank you very much for this analysis and overview!

Where can we download a English version of this book, would be interesting to read

I wanna know about the threat to Moldova frankly…especially considering that map Lukashenko showed off where an arrow went into transistria…

I haven’t seen the data disaggregated in greater detail by types assistance and sources of, within, say, financial or military aid. I would inquire how the October 1 beginning of the new fiscal year in the United States may distort this data. Some disbursements may have been delayed until that date. Or bureaucratic paperwork may begin to be processed on that date leading to transmittal of aid several months later. FINALLY, in some cases expenses authorized fiscal year 2022 may be rushed to completion by September 30, 2022 if the authorization expires on that date (regarded as an example of “use it or lose it.” Of course another tactic of bureaucratic infighting will result in undue delay of processing approval of expenses or authorizations resulting in pushing acquisitions or payments into the following year. I am sure that most national experiences offer similar examples of bureaucratic friction or roadblocks frustrating national policies.

GDP (PPP) numbers are not really reliable figures for a country's economic size, should've used nominal GDP instead. Even political leaders within India only speak in nominal GDP terms (so stuff like Modi promising to expand the GDP to 5 trillion usd in his second term in the 2019 elections), cause that is more representative of the actual size of a country's economy with respect to other countries to the extent that GDP itself is a reliable method of doing so.

With this video, you have become the spiritual successor to Jean-Christophe Victor, Bernhard.

It is not possible to "de-escalate" a non-nuclear conflict by responding with a nuclear attack, regardless if its strategic or tactical. It is de-facto a further escalation which can and will increase the chances of a nuclear conflict.

@14:51 "But I am likely biased since there are a few things I dislike more than bureaucracts."
How about car salesmen, bankers and lawyers???
😂😂😂

While friction exists between China and the USA the reality is both countries are highly dependent on the other while neither has close ties with Russia so Putin must consider a USA and Chinese joint response if he tries to ratchet up the war to the point of becoming a global threat.

15:00 Im going to be cynical here about these dastardly bureaucrats. They had to get rid of old stuff to improve their budgets massively. Out with the old, order new and get a pat on the back what a great job hes doing having done so much with the same budget landing exactly on a black zero.

Gotta love that, no matter how big Latin America is, it will always be left ignored when it comes to this.

18:16 Kashmir is a conflict of 3 sides, not just 2: India, Pakistan and China.

The GDP of China was only $18.321 trillion in 2022, not the $34 trillion stated in the video. India's $3.3 trillion, but its purchasing power parity was approximately $11 trillion. Well I don't know for sure I'm assuming China's GDP was also based on purchasing power parity. The problem with using that number is it is not equivalent. You can't buy microchips or oil or iron ore using PPP.

What exactly is the map at 07:40 showing?
As far I’m aware Norway, Sweden and Switzerland have imposed sanctions too? Zooming out further would include Australia, New Zealand, Japan, South Korea and Taiwan too, right? On the other hand I wasn’t able to find exactly what kind of sanctions against Russia were imposed by Cuba and Argentina? Anyone here who has better insight in this?

5:47 - this is obviously some strange usage of the word 'de-escalate' that I wasn't previously aware of.

Bruh the post soviet states all being the top donators in terms of percentage of gdp is some real ass karma shit.

17:33 this is map of Africa, not India

I have a degree in International Affairs from the George Washington University. If you would like, I can send you more sources regarding the situations in Ukraine and Russia, although you seemed to do a good job over covering it in this video

Interflex will be essential to keep Ukrainian military professionalism adequate as they take horrific casualties due to NATO hesitation in supplying heavy armored vehicles and tanks in 2022.

When you are talking about India's GDP you should have specified you meant GDP PP.

Recommend Perun, recurring on Sundays content at macro level analysis of the military components and other interests.

While You talk about India, You can See Africa in the background, just as something i noticed

An interesting post as usual (thanks). A few question/comments. 1) At 2:45 you mention "Anti-Semitic" nature of Russian response, but the statement used to support this claim does not contain any Anti-Semitic content as far as I can tell (correct me if I am mistaken). 2) The analysis of funding by month in 2022 is unconvincing and is only superficially tied to event on the ground in Ukraine. Much more likely are a host of domestic and international factors within/among the donor countries.
In my humble opinion, the biggest criticism of this video is that it ignores (or leaves a small mention at the end) the vast effects on the international trading system. Namely, the strategic growth of BRICS alliance to counter the western weaponization of trade starting with SWIFT banking system. This has implication also for overseeing effectiveness of sanctions themselves as the SWIFT system allows Western states to monitor international trading transactions. Additionally, a growing movement to de-dollarize international trade has been pushed forward which will impact on the dollars value, and hurt the Western economies further if a strong recession evolves. Related effect of the sanctions regime is the severe harm done to the international legal system of multilateral trade. To wit, international commerce law has lost much of its legitimacy and trust, given that property and monetary holding seizures by the West on both the Russian state and individual Russians have been undertaken without a declaration of war against Russia or without sufficient legal basis (laws passed by parliaments) but instead by fiat. In conclusion, the video ignores these economic effects of the Western reaction to the war (regardless of it future outcome) that are likely to be felt for decades into future, mostly likely to the detriment of the West.

The US involvment in Ukraine may decrease their total ability to intervene in Taiwan, however:
Ukraine has woken the US and NATO from their complacency
It has shown that artillery is still important, Western stocks are too low, and procurement is too slow. That is all being fixed.
Military ties between the US, NATO, Taiwan, Japan, South Korea, and Australia have been strengthened.
So the "Special Military Action" in Ukraine has actually primed the Western Allies to react more strongly if China invades Taiwan than they would have before. Previously they had dismissed warnings from Ukraine, Poland, and the Baltic states. That won't happen now in Taiwan.
Time isn't on China's side, unless you are talking about more than a decade from now.

Just FYI .... my Mexican sister-in-law taught me a variation of that occupation you hate so much .... "burrocrata". Especially say it with the Spanish trilled "r" -- burrrrrocrata. It's a very satisfying word.

The russian soldier cries out in pain as he invades yet another country. "YOU MADE ME DO THIS" he says.

So why is Germany short of parts for leopard 2?

Any companies transshiping to Russia should have there trade reduced to zero or prewar levels

You are a bit wrong stating that the great patriotic war is basically russian WW2. Because by saing that you exclude soviet involvment in WW2 from 1939 to 1941, where it basically allied with nazi germany and split eastern europe in spheres of influence. Basically the great patriotic part is soviet part of WW2 but without shady stuff done by the soviets

Did they say NATO had bio labs at the front
any war gamer knows they go at the back, far far back, if the player had them, but he doesn't

The original video you had uploaded was with the map with Crimea annexed from Ukraine. Was it a mistake, was it a deliberate choice made by you? Don’t know, don’t care really. What I knew is that you were going to get grilled for it 100%. Remember, Crimea is Ukraine! Even though it is temporarily occupied by that terrorist state. The head of the state is now officially wanted.

For a more insightful understanding as to how and why the world is dividing out into the collective West (about 40 countries) and the rest of the world, this links to a program in which this is all well lain out. clip-share.net/video/UFIZZb0EEOo/video.html

Putin sees himself as the embodiment of the Russian state. 😕

Right now Russia is like a Puffer fish: when it gets scared, it will “puff up” as a defense mechanism. More bluster than any substance.

Check your GDP figures. You’ll find you made a strange estimate of China’s GDP in 2022. Like 20 trilllion USD off. Not a rounding error. Love your channel, just trying to QC, not call you out.

Just one point 8⁠-⁠) In English, when pronouncing numbers , the numbers after the decimal point are pronounced individually e.g
123.45 is pronounced one hundred and twenty three point four , five (NOT point fourty five) .
Otherwise this is another great report ,8⁠-⁠)

Australia has sent over 124 vehicles to Ukraine the 5th biggest donation

Thank you for making this video I know as a historian its hard to not talk about war without going into all the propaganda each country employs. I hope you know I support your videos. SLava Ukraini

Curious: is there a specific reason Crimea is not colored like the rest of Ukraine in the video's thumbnail? Since the pro-occupied areas of Luhansk and Donezk are not marked occupied there seems to be something off.

Good status report.

Russia loading up on inventory prior to the war almost certainly had no expectation of the utter destruction of Russian armor that has happened. In other words, that inventory, at least in some respects, is almost certainly inadequate.
Further, the armor that has been destroyed so far is heavily weighted to the best of what Russia had. Once the war is over, Russia will need to rebuild substantially the heavy majority of its primary army equipment. Though it still seems to have a couple hundred T-90s that are not (yet) destroyed.
There's no question Russia can rebuild, the real issue is rebuild to what level of quality. Obtaining commodity electronics won't be a problem, what will be a problem is specialist parts - e.g. circuitry and sensors that can withstand high-G levels, shock, etc.
Look, for instance, at the tanks that Iran and North Korea produce. They produce a lot of tanks, but no one believes such tanks are a match for competent western equipment. Russia will probably be able to produce many tanks, and the average quality will exceed that of Iran and NoKo - but matching western tech will be increasingly difficult.
It will also be made more difficult by the fact that the reputation of Russian equipment has taken a huge hit because of this war. If you're India, for instance, why bother with buying Russian? India is on the verge of being able to produce the same quality equipment itself, completely indigenously. In fact, in the not too distant future, you could imagine India being a competitor for Russian arms exports - why not?
Further, Russia's manufacturing capacity is limited. If it's going to spend the next 5-10 years rebuilding armor for itself, it won't have a lot of excess capacity to build for anyone else.
And that's a serious problem, because in the long run, if Russia doesn't have export customers, it can't afford to keep its weapons programs at world-leading levels, even if it could access the best of technology. It's an economy the size of Italy.

It improved my country security Poland russia was only potentional threath to us and in 2023 other then nukes not so much

"Moscow has discussed using nuclear weapons to de-esculate a conflict."
Boy, if that isn't a bunch of good old Soviet BS.
Nothing about nuclear weapons will de-esculate a conflict unless both sides go MAD!
😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂
💥💥💥💥💥💥💥💥💥

"The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation continue the special military operation.
In Kupyansk direction, aviation and artillery of the 'Zapad' Group of Forces have engaged the units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine close to Sinkova and Kislovka (Kharkov region).
The enemy has suffered losses of up to 75 Ukrainian servicemen, an infantry fighting vehicle, three motor vehicles, four Gvozdika self-propelled howitzers, and one MT-12 anti-tank gun during the day.
In Krasny Liman direction, active actions by units of the 'Tsentr' Group of Forces and artillery fire inflicted damage on the manpower and equipment of the enemy near Yampolovka (Donetsk People's Republic) and Nevskoye (Lugansk People's Republic).
More than 95 Ukrainian troops, two armoured fighting vehicles, two pick-up trucks, an Akatsiya self-propelled artillery system, a D-30 howitzer, and a U.S.-made M777 artillery system have been neutralised in this area during the day.
In Donetsk direction, actions of the 'Yug' Group of Forces supported by artillery close to Zaliznyanskoye, Krasnoye, and Tonenkoye (Donetsk People's Republic) have eliminated up to 150 Ukrainian troops, three tanks, two armoured fighting vehicles, four pick-up trucks, two motor vehicles, a D-20 howitzer, one Gvozdika self-propelled artillery unit, one MT-12 anti-tank gun, as well as two U.S.-made M777 artillery systems in the past 24 hours.
In South Donetsk and Zaporozhye directions, aviation and artillery of the 'Vostok' Group of Forces inflicted fire damage on the AGU units close to Prechistovka (Donetsk People's Republic) and Uspenovka (Zaporozhye region).
The enemy suffered up to 60 Ukrainian troops, two armoured fighting vehicles, three pick-up trucks, three motor vehicles, and one D-20 howitzer in these directions during the day.
An ammunition depot of the 72nd Mechanised Brigade of the Ukrainian Armed Forces has been hit close to Vodyanoye (Donetsk People's Republic).
In Kherson direction, more than 40 Ukrainian servicemen, three armoured fighting vehicles, three motor vehicles, two Gvozdika self-propelled artillery guns, and one Akatsiya self-propelled howitzer have been eliminated during the day.
Operational-Tactical and Army aviation, Missile Troops and Artillery of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation have neutralised 78 AFU artillery units at their firing positions, enemy manpower and hardware in 142 areas.
One Olkha multiple rocket launcher has been destroyed near Kazachya Lopan (Kharkov region).
One Ukrainian combat vehicle for Uragan MRLS has been destroyed near Dalneye (Donetsk People's Republic).
Moreover, U.S.-made AN/TPQ-36 and AN/TPQ-37 counter-battery radar stations were annihilated near Dobropolye and Klinovoye (Donetsk People's Republic).
Fighter aviation of Russian Aerospace Forces has shot down one MiG-29 airplane of Ukrainian Air Force near Krasnoarmeysk (Donetsk People's Republic).
Air defence forces have intercepted 23 HIMARS, Smerch, and Uragan MLRS shells during the day.
In addition, seventeen Ukrainian unmanned aerial vehicles were shot down close to Novaya Zburyevka, Golaya Pristan (Kherson region), Kremennaya, Varvarovka, Zhitlovka (Lugansk People's Republic), Valeryanovka, Kyrillovka, Volnovakha, Volodino and the Mendrykino railway station (Donetsk People's Republic), as well as Mezhirich (Zaporozhye region).
In total, 401 airplanes and 220 helicopters, 3,418 unmanned aerial vehicles, 412 air defence missile systems, 8,293 tanks and other armoured fighting vehicles, 1,057 combat vehicles equipped with MLRS, 4,350 field artillery cannons and mortars, as well as 8,924 units of special military equipment have been destroyed during the special military operation."
Russian Defence Ministry Report for Tuesday 14th March 2023

Дідько when did I start living in major historical event

Bernhard, how will mobilisation affect Russia’s war effort? Can Ukraine amass enough troops to hold them off?

I keep missing the rock 'n roll Outro. So, is it WW3 yet, or the Spanish-Civil war?

The India government has its own issues. The current Indian Government is doing a bang up job of preparing their country for Civil War. Namely, they keep enraging the Punjabis every so often. India will need military hardware and the support for the Punjabi people is stronger in the West. That pretty much, despite everything, means that India's government is Pro-Russian by default.
But that position will be difficult to maintain as it is clear that the Indian Military desires Western Weapons which are battle harden and proven. To say nothing of being Technologically more advanced than the Russian designs. More than that, there is an increasing disconnect between the Indian Government and the Indian Military in several matters.
The general populous of India is also increasingly becoming unhappy, to put it mildly, with the current Government of India. Chances are, if the Indian Government was to suddenly change, we will see India vote to condemn Russia instead of supporting it.
That we will have to wait and see.

I'd like to see you justify how exactly supporting Ukraine weakens the US ability to support Taiwan. The two theaters are very different and the munitions being shipped to Ukraine do not heavily overlap with what would be needed to support Taiwan.

Good approach. But you forgot the most important thing. In 2014, the US violently overthrew the elected government: Maidan scenario. After that, the USA stole all of Ukraine's gold reserves and militarily upgraded the same to wage the current proxy war. In addition, over 12,000 people have been murdered by the Ukrainian army and foreign mercenaries in the Donbass region over the past 8 years. Civilians working in the fields, children in schools, etc. By snipers and artillery fire. Either reveal everything or nothing. Because only saying a part and hiding from the others is just lying.

South Africa is a interesting dynamic. As as a nation its falling apart and the west is begining to sour with them over racist treatment of Dutch farmers and the white minority.

The word "emphasise" is in modern american pronounced as emfasaiz.

End the conflict by the Soviet Union...I mean Russia getting completely out of Ukraine and Ukraine allowing the Soviet Union... again I mean Russia, the use of Sebastopol as a naval base.
Hell, give them a 99 year lease. That's what they've been fighting for to begin with in the first place, a place for their navy to operate out of in the Black Sea.

That speech really emphasizes how breathtaking Russia's inferiority complex when it comes to the US is. They so desperately want to be our peer, and the fact that we don't treat them as equals must REALLY chap their asses. I love it.

Speaking about India, the map of Africa is shown.

Regardless of your position in the war, the Russian perspective cannot be fully explained by merely citing two sources, both which where not meant to provide a complete and detailed retelling of the history of the regions in conflict in the first place. Thus, the first 7 minutes of the video are could be either a "filler", a justification for the global support for Ukraine, or a mere segment of "two minutes of hate", but they are far from a value free analysis. Its relevancy is echoed in the video's summary: Putin's speech is only referenced as a way of demonstrating Russian acknowledgment of global financial support, which is already well documented.
It seems there is no escape from virtue signalling propaganda repackaged in the form of "military analysis", I have yet to find a non biased channel.

Bernhard, please check your email box, I've sent you a letter almost a week ago. :)

I learnt pretty quickly Ukraines global importance was greatly exaggerated. I knew nothing about the place before the war and I now know why I knew nothing about it. Its literally a backwater that contributes nothing to the rest of the world. And don't mention wheat cause my country produces 85% of its own wheat and imports the rest from North America.

Don't worry about it, Russia will do a better job with Ukraine when it's Russian again.

What about turkey?

Let's go Brandon. Only his voters and supporters should be forced into the draft once WW3 starts because of these warmongers

Is there a reason that Africa is the background for the section talking about India?

We need to supply enough equiptment to make Putin give up.
300 tanks now

im confused, why are the borders of India shown as vaguely defined, whilst borders of other countries with disputed zones, not?

It just regional war . Like Yaman vs Saudi Arabia

how did NATO refer to the regime change in Libya? Could the US/British war against Iraq be considered a criminal act? US presently occupies Syria. Why is this not a sanctionable offense?

What about Latin America?

Just a minor info i do not know the exact numbers but look like India hase more population now as Chine. On the other side the chines economy have more reserve as india.

✌

Please do a video on tactics in the Korean war
And more unit videos

Mein Gott serh interessant video

23:52 NOPE. The biggest limit for the US regarding Taiwan would be if Ukraine lost the war!

In that list of countries that fought against Russia, they have Poland, but fail to mention that it was Russia (then the Soviet Union) who invaded!

re 2m06s, he forgot a few names like, say, Finland but more importantly Switzerland. When the Swiss join in on sanctions, even if they do it kind of halfassed, then maybe it's time to start asking... AITA?

In Russian language, «негр» isn’t black. It’s a slur, literally n-word.

Are you sure those GDPs numbers correct on India, China and the U.S.?

17:26, where the heck did you get that China's GDP is $39 trillion? even by PPP it's not that much!

Not sure why crimea isn’t on the map.

Why did you put China as having a higher GDP than the US? Has this happened yet?

The Czech republic or Czechoslovakia have never been at war with Russia. If you don't count the illegal Soviet invasion of 1968 that is XD

LOL!!! Ol' Vlad is so full of it, he needs to go to the toilet! LOLOL!!!

analysiert von einem ungarischen Professor clip-share.net/video/TAmpu8zicLc/video.html

So, you know what the Ukraine war doesn't have in common with the Great Patriotic War and the Patriotic War? No foreign troops standing on the outskirts of Moscow. We could do Putin a favor...

When you're on day 400 of a three day special operation and your closest propaganda 'victory' is getting two buildings closer to taking a village of 15,000, I guess you need to pretend you're fighting the entire world at once to pretend you aren't a complete clown.

It's weird seeing Russian tanks full of stolen goods, like clothes, tvs, toys stuff like that just basics not the golden bars or works of art that's the weird part.

China doesn't have $39 trillion GDP.....

2:54 the text actually uses the n-word instead of "the blacks"

It's insane how weak Russia is. Modern warfare 2009 had them taking over the East Coast 😂😂😂

1 key thing to know about the Ukraine war, since before the war begun, there was that russian military buildup on the border of Ukraine, and any NATO military analyst knew their purpose, to intervene in Ukraine(because there was a war already going on there but i will get to it in a sec), now since Ukraine is neighbouring NATO, the representatives of NATO could have intervened before the Russians went in and say, "hey guys we know you want to kill each other, but hostilities on our border could lead to dead NATO citizens and that would also drag us into this war, and that would mean WW3"(now we actually got 2 dead civilians in Poland by a ukrainian AA missile, which anyone who know his military stuff knows how hard it is for such a missile to be blow off course, which easily explains how the missile in Poland was a false flag attack by Ukraine, but hey, who am i to challenge the narrative that the media has spent so much time building up), and with the threat of nuclear annihilation looming both sides would have backed down, even if Putin is the crazed bloodthirsty maniac everyone is making him out to be, he would have had no other choice in the face of mutually assured destruction, simply because like any other human being he doesnt want to die, so NATO could have from the very start prevented this war, or at least put an end to it the moment it begun. But NATO didnt do that, they actually let the war play out, but as i mentioned there was a war in Ukraine before the Russians intervened, in case there are still people believing theer was not, Jens Stoltenberg, the representative of NATO said in his interview during the last NATO summit that the war in Ukraine started in 2014 and NATO has been supporting Ukraine since then, so we know for certain that there was a war in Ukraine before the Russian intervention. Now, there is that war going on in Ukraine for around 8 years and it has never made it to single news outlet, literally 99% of europeans had no clue that there was a war going on in the continent, but the day Russia goes in, you see headlines everywhere saying, "WAR IN THE HEART OF EUROPE", is it that hard to see that theres an agenda at work ? and nowhere in that agenda does it say save or help Ukraine, NATO's purpose we are told is to preserve peace in Europe but when war broke out in Ukraine in 2015, NATO didnt try to put an end to it, instead they escelated and kept escalating to the point where they invited Russia in. When it comes to Putin, im no fan either, but NATO is the cancer of the world, and that should be more than obvious by now. Theres nothing constructive about the pot calling the kettle black, but since the start of the conflict thats what we western citizens do, which is so ironic considering that in wars the ones who lose their property and their lives are the ordinary citizens and in my opinion if you re not directly under threat or directly benefiting from the war(news media,weapons contractors and all those bright fellas) you should always no matter what be in favour of peace over war.

Notification squad 🔔 here

A lot of this is propaganda and a lot of this is true. Same as from the other side - pro Ukraine, a lot is true but a lot is pure propaganda.
Just to give the help (weapons only) to Ukraine - currently at over 60B -- this is about half of Lend - lease help during WWII that Soviets got adjusted to today's $$$. I.e. Ukraine is getting about 2x+ the aid Soviets got against Germany. Combined with other aid it is more like 4x.

this isnt the great patriotic war 2.0 this is the winter war 2.0 or russo-japanese war 3.0