Tap to unmute
Ukraine War and its Global Impact
- Published on May 30, 2023 veröffentlicht
- In this we look at the global impact of the Ukraine War, this covers a lot of ground: international relations, changes in trade routes, sanctions, support for Ukraine and other topics. Additionally, we also look at the Russian perception of the war based on a booklet for Russian soldiers and Putin's speech in February 2023.
Cover: Microsoft Corporation 2020, Earthstar Geographics SIO, Map Tiler, OpenStreetMap contributors, modified by MHV.
»» GET OUR BOOKS ««
» Stukabook - Doctrine of the German Dive-Bomber - stukabook.com
» The Assault Platoon of the Grenadier-Company November 1944 (StG 44) - sturmzug.com
» Army Regulation Medium Panzer Company 1941 - www.hdv470-7.com
» Achtung Panzer? Zur Panzerwaffe der Wehrmacht - panzerkonferenz.de
»» SUPPORT MHV ««
» patreon - see videos early (adfree) - www.patreon.com/join/mhv
» subscribe star - www.subscribestar.com/mhv
» paypal donation - paypal.me/mhvis
» Clip-Share Membership - / @militaryhistoryv...
»» MERCHANDISE ««
» teespring - teespring.com/stores/military...
»» SOURCES ««
David, Andrew; Stewart, Sarah; Reid, Meagan; Alperovitch, Dmitri: Russia Shifting Import Sources Amid U.S. And Allied Export Restrictions. China Feeding Russia's Technology Demands. January 2023.
Christoph Trebesch, Arianna Antezza, Katelyn Bushnell, Andre Frank, Pascal Frank, Lukas Franz, Ivan Kharitonov, Bharath Kumar, Ekaterina Rebinskaya & Stefan Schramm (2023). "The Ukraine Support Tracker: Which countries help Ukraine and how?" Kiel Working Paper, No. 2218, 1-65.
Winter, Jay M.: The Cambridge History of the First World War. Volume II: The State. Cambridge University Press: Cambridge, 2016.
NATO's response to Russia's invasion of Ukraine
Presidential Address to Federal Assembly February 21, 2023 at Gostiny Dvor, Moscow.
Emily Ferris: Russia and Putin’s Latest Speech: A Series of Unfortunate Events. RUSI, 2023.
Defense Intelligence Agency: Russia Military Power - Building a Military to Support Great Power Aspirations - 2017.
Eglitis, Aaron: Western Trade With Russia’s Neighbors May Show Dodged Sanctions, EBRD Says. www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...
Russia Sanctions Update: CIS-picious Trading Patterns
Zsolt Darvas; Catarina Martins: The Impact Of The Ukraine Crisis On International Trade.
King Charles watches Ukrainian troops training in Wiltshire, www.bbc.com/news/uk-england-w...
Gramer, Robbie; Mackinnon, Amy: Iran and Russia are closer than ever before. foreignpolicy.com/2023/01/05/...
Pecquet, Julian: US: Treasury’s Yellen embarks on Africa ‘listening’ tour with China and Russia in crosshairs. www.theafricareport.com/27596...
Bremmer, Ian: China's Peace Plan for Ukraine Could Have Dangerous Consequences. Time. time.com/6259621/china-ukrain...
00:18 Russia’s Perception
07:20 Global Sanctions & Russian Counter Measures
11:07 Support for Ukraine
17:02 The Forgotten One: India
#UkraineWar #global #russia
Comments • 628
It's probably worth mentioning that the latest Kiel statistics ended before the massive recent AFV and tank announcements by a lot of countries were made.
Gonna have to wait for the next update for them to be included, which is kinda dumb because it feels a bit like cutting off right before the finale.
It was promised but there is huge difference between saying and doing fast. Delivery of some french system can take 6 months to reach Ukranian border as example. Also there is different bridges, roads, languages and logistic here witch can increase time even more.
That kind of thinking is nice and all, but it doesn't really change anything about the (lack of) accuracy of the current statistic because it cuts of just days before some of the biggest weapon transfer announcements of the war were made while featuring in earlier ones that haven't arrived yet and will actually arrive after the announcements that came later.
@Lyk D'Nine Agree that it is easy to play with statistic to show what you want. For example germans youtubeguns 2000 are very expensive and if you look only at promised cost they much better that polish crabs(also they look much cooler on screen) But if you look at numbers that actually work here, amount of time that they spend away from frontline, speed of delivery then you will get very different picture. That picture of cool things that cost allot and spend most of time standing are painted with our blood.
@Denis Komarov People forget about announcements from six months before. West play chess when Russia play checkers.
Poland blocking the PzH2k maintenance depots with ridiculous demands for tech transfers of industry secrets and Polish engineers with absolutely no experience with the machines being hired to service them instead of experienced experts really did them dirty.
Luckily they eventually just went to Slovakia where a deal was made in like a week.
At one point, I discovered from OSINT that Russia provided frequency support and synchronization to Iranian electric infrastructure. At that time, the FSU states still all had one huge electric frequency and reliability structure. Thus, when one of Iran's 1970s era Combined Cycle Natural Gas power plants failed, the effects were felt from St. Petersburg to Vladivostock.
How exactly does one use nuclear arms to de-escalate? I would love to speak to the person who came up with that idea.
Vladolf Putler came up with it
The general strategy to “”””de-escalate with nuclear weapons””””” would seem to be more along the lines of “bend over and give us what we want or we will glass you” since they abandoned the ‘no first strike’ policy most nuclear powers subscribe to
It doesn't. The idea is basically "escalate to de-escalate" like in poker if you've been aggressively betting on 2 pair but want to fake a full house, you just get more aggressive like an all-in approach. It's absolutely stupid and outdated as a tactic even before nukes were a doctrine.
France has a similar doctrine, you use tactical nuke/s, delivered by plane on a strict military installation or large concentration of enemy forces with the absolute minimum of civilian casualties (otherwise you could just nuke them and then GL&HF). This is done in the hope that by using such devastation the other is forced to realise where this conflict would lead too. However Iam not sure if humans work that way as this doctrine hopes we would.
One thing you missed when presenting which countries support Ukraine in what capacity, it's important to note the different policies of countries when it comes to announcing aid, especially military kind. This means that you might be underestimating aid coming to Ukraine, particularly from countries to the east, which don't announce everything publicly. Especially if you are basing these from osint sources, idk since no source.
And even those what do announce, not do that for everything.
I agree, a large number of weapons and humanitarian aid have already been found from Turkey and Saudi Arabia
How we usually find what was delivered to Ukraine from Poland is when Ukrainians thank us for those things. That's how we find out first PT91s were delivered 😅
@Slavic Cat It seems that PT 91 was openly announced, if I'm not mistaken, the first MiG-29s were secretly delivered
@Slavic Cat Especially as we did not see many of those yet. Russians believe that they face thin line what collapse if pushed hard enough. Except we did not see yet those Polish "Apocalypse" tanks deployed in larger number. For same reason it is not expected that Leopards 2 would actually show up until half year pass. What would be deployed in spring offensive, would be most likely reserve, what Ukraine already has. Because it would be back-filled later with new hardware.
Thank you Bernhard for taking our attention away from Twitter and the video war! Indeed global / backstage focus is most interesting. Especially since the war is likely to extend for several years.
By the way I would be very interested in hearing you on the questions of attrition, (counter)offensives and future operations. I fear that too much pressure is applied to the Ukrainian army to deliver "quick" (2023) strategic results, while the means to achieve operational goals are still too limited. Parallels to 1915 and 1942-43 come to mind. I would love to hear your views on this. And if you could drag the Chieftain into some collab on these questions, so much the better ! 😉
For "few things I dislike more than bureaucrats" you should get a second thumbs up. :D
@MHV very interesting video, résumé of facts backed with sources
I saw another interesting video that explores the relationships between Russia, Iran, Israel, and Syria. The latter three countries have had fairly good relationships with Russia, but not so much with each other. This creates a confusing and not very stable situation.
For example: on the one hand, Israel refused to send/sell its Iron Dome air defense system to Ukraine, but on the other hand bombed an Iranian drone factory in Syria. This attack is actually the main focus of the video that drives the discussion of the wider context.
The video is by James Ker-Lindsy: clip-share.net/video/Gahoy1nInOQ/video.html
The iron dome thing is purely because those wouldn’t be of any use to Ukraine anyway. Iron dome is good to cover an area 1/30th the size of Ukraine. There wouldn’t be enough spare missiles or batteries to make it worthwhile.
Thank you very much for this analysis and overview!
@Military History Visualized I used to watch all your WW2 breakdowns....now we have an actual war to breakdown. It's like WW2 in reverse
@Military History Visualized what's with showing a picture of Africa while talking about India?
@Military History Visualized btw those GDP figures you mentioned don't seem to be correct, China doesn't have GDP of 45 trillion dollars, but they have about 17trillion and India doesn't have 11 trillion dollars gdp, but they have around 4. Also China's gdp is a bit suspicious and they might be inflating their numbers a bit.
But don't get me wrong, those 2 economies are indeed absolutely massive, but china doesn't have higher GDP than the US.
Where can we download a English version of this book, would be interesting to read
I wanna know about the threat to Moldova frankly…especially considering that map Lukashenko showed off where an arrow went into transistria…
Most competent Russian puppet
@Commodore Zero it’s not an invasion, it’s linking up with them, making it well…elementary who’s considered the next former soviet republic to reintegrate…
@The Looinrims I don't think Russia can take Odessa because that'd fully landlock Ukraine and it would make a negotiated settlement much harder. Anything west of the Dneiper will be very inconvienant for the Russians to hold. The Dneiper is really the ceiling of Russias territorial goals in Ukraine.
@Commodore Zero well yes now, but that map was revealed in the first few days when of course, much grander goals were had
I haven’t seen the data disaggregated in greater detail by types assistance and sources of, within, say, financial or military aid. I would inquire how the October 1 beginning of the new fiscal year in the United States may distort this data. Some disbursements may have been delayed until that date. Or bureaucratic paperwork may begin to be processed on that date leading to transmittal of aid several months later. FINALLY, in some cases expenses authorized fiscal year 2022 may be rushed to completion by September 30, 2022 if the authorization expires on that date (regarded as an example of “use it or lose it.” Of course another tactic of bureaucratic infighting will result in undue delay of processing approval of expenses or authorizations resulting in pushing acquisitions or payments into the following year. I am sure that most national experiences offer similar examples of bureaucratic friction or roadblocks frustrating national policies.
GDP (PPP) numbers are not really reliable figures for a country's economic size, should've used nominal GDP instead. Even political leaders within India only speak in nominal GDP terms (so stuff like Modi promising to expand the GDP to 5 trillion usd in his second term in the 2019 elections), cause that is more representative of the actual size of a country's economy with respect to other countries to the extent that GDP itself is a reliable method of doing so.
I'd say real GDP matters more for most purposes than nominal GDP.
With this video, you have become the spiritual successor to Jean-Christophe Victor, Bernhard.
It is not possible to "de-escalate" a non-nuclear conflict by responding with a nuclear attack, regardless if its strategic or tactical. It is de-facto a further escalation which can and will increase the chances of a nuclear conflict.
The concept is called "escalate to de-escalate". The theory is that by drastically escalating a conflict, for example with a limited nuclear strike, you scare your enemy into backing down. Thus the overall conflict de-escalates.
It’s not to ‘de escalate’ by definition, it’s to ‘de escalate’ by essentially saying ‘surrender, give us what we want, or we will turn your land to glass’
Correct, It is a euphemistic description chosen politically. An accurate description is "Escalate to Win"
@14:51 "But I am likely biased since there are a few things I dislike more than bureaucracts."
How about car salesmen, bankers and lawyers???
I generally can avoid them .
I only deal with the telephone support of banks.
Real estate agents, architects....
While friction exists between China and the USA the reality is both countries are highly dependent on the other while neither has close ties with Russia so Putin must consider a USA and Chinese joint response if he tries to ratchet up the war to the point of becoming a global threat.
15:00 Im going to be cynical here about these dastardly bureaucrats. They had to get rid of old stuff to improve their budgets massively. Out with the old, order new and get a pat on the back what a great job hes doing having done so much with the same budget landing exactly on a black zero.
But Russia neither have money for new stuff or was really maintaining the old equipment. This argument is ironically more applicable to West then Russia.
Gotta love that, no matter how big Latin America is, it will always be left ignored when it comes to this.
18:16 Kashmir is a conflict of 3 sides, not just 2: India, Pakistan and China.
China is a non-party in Kashmir, except for the little part of it Pakistan illegally ceded to China in 1963, because they couldn't take on India alone. India's troubles with China are in a separate region of J&K, referred to as Ladakh.
The GDP of China was only $18.321 trillion in 2022, not the $34 trillion stated in the video. India's $3.3 trillion, but its purchasing power parity was approximately $11 trillion. Well I don't know for sure I'm assuming China's GDP was also based on purchasing power parity. The problem with using that number is it is not equivalent. You can't buy microchips or oil or iron ore using PPP.
PPP equivalents, do only relate to paying for goods internally. China is very short on raw commodities, but Russia is rich in them. If China buys oil from Russia they are at a PPP (Ural oil price) and a political discount. Also for finished products, when China buys a jet engine off Russia its likely cheaper for them than if a Swedish company buys a British jet engine, but they can afford that higher price more than China could. Allies have tax breaks on military purchases too. Its a rabbit hole, that can’t be covered by this level of analysis. Advise viewing Perun he has this bed time book material covered 😹
Yeah, that's a weird mistake by this channel.
I did a pause and rewind when he said that. I was about to go look it up myself when I saw this comment. I'm glad I didn't fall asleep and time warp twenty years into the future without noticing (although that would probably be more realistic in an alternate universe).
What exactly is the map at 07:40 showing?
As far I’m aware Norway, Sweden and Switzerland have imposed sanctions too? Zooming out further would include Australia, New Zealand, Japan, South Korea and Taiwan too, right? On the other hand I wasn’t able to find exactly what kind of sanctions against Russia were imposed by Cuba and Argentina? Anyone here who has better insight in this?
Switzerland have imposed sanctions?!
5:47 - this is obviously some strange usage of the word 'de-escalate' that I wasn't previously aware of.
Bruh the post soviet states all being the top donators in terms of percentage of gdp is some real ass karma shit.
Poland is not "Post-Soviet" and the Baltic States would rather avoid this term.
@Wolfi Soviet survivor states? I think we all know what he means. These states suffered under Soviet control, whether as a member of the Warsaw Pact or as an SSR.
@CV990A Poland was never part of the Soviet Union, thus it cannot be a "Post-Soviet" state. Because this is the usual definition of the term.
The Baltic states were annexed/occupied by the Soviet Union.
Baltic people fail to see why we do not call Denmark or Norway "Post-Nazi" state too.
@DoublePlusUngood For Poland the phrase is simply inaccurate, since it was never part of the Soviet Union.
And the Baltic peoples want to avoid to use the term "post-Soviet" because it literally enforces a very unhealthy and pro-Russian view of Eastern Europe.
@DoublePlusUngood It is still a completely incorrect term for Poland.
It is also a bad analogy, since Poland was a proper nation state that was in theory independent unlike several US administrated territories.
You would not call the 50s West Germany a "US territory" because it was largely dependent on the western allies.
And again, these terms are reproducing the exact warped and unhealthy/problematic view of middle and eastern Europe that Russia pushes in its propaganda.
The fact that people use these terms (Wrong or correct) is one of the reasons why the parts of the "West" was sleepwalking into this war.
17:33 this is map of Africa, not India
I have a degree in International Affairs from the George Washington University. If you would like, I can send you more sources regarding the situations in Ukraine and Russia, although you seemed to do a good job over covering it in this video
Interflex will be essential to keep Ukrainian military professionalism adequate as they take horrific casualties due to NATO hesitation in supplying heavy armored vehicles and tanks in 2022.
When you are talking about India's GDP you should have specified you meant GDP PP.
Recommend Perun, recurring on Sundays content at macro level analysis of the military components and other interests.
I liked several of his videos in previous months but I haven't seen his newer stuff yet, I need to catch up the last several weeks, but he does do quality stuff on a macro level. It's funny because he doesn't do fancy graphics or anything superfluous just straight power point but the content is my concern and his is good
While You talk about India, You can See Africa in the background, just as something i noticed
An interesting post as usual (thanks). A few question/comments. 1) At 2:45 you mention "Anti-Semitic" nature of Russian response, but the statement used to support this claim does not contain any Anti-Semitic content as far as I can tell (correct me if I am mistaken). 2) The analysis of funding by month in 2022 is unconvincing and is only superficially tied to event on the ground in Ukraine. Much more likely are a host of domestic and international factors within/among the donor countries.
In my humble opinion, the biggest criticism of this video is that it ignores (or leaves a small mention at the end) the vast effects on the international trading system. Namely, the strategic growth of BRICS alliance to counter the western weaponization of trade starting with SWIFT banking system. This has implication also for overseeing effectiveness of sanctions themselves as the SWIFT system allows Western states to monitor international trading transactions. Additionally, a growing movement to de-dollarize international trade has been pushed forward which will impact on the dollars value, and hurt the Western economies further if a strong recession evolves. Related effect of the sanctions regime is the severe harm done to the international legal system of multilateral trade. To wit, international commerce law has lost much of its legitimacy and trust, given that property and monetary holding seizures by the West on both the Russian state and individual Russians have been undertaken without a declaration of war against Russia or without sufficient legal basis (laws passed by parliaments) but instead by fiat. In conclusion, the video ignores these economic effects of the Western reaction to the war (regardless of it future outcome) that are likely to be felt for decades into future, mostly likely to the detriment of the West.
> At 2:45 you mention "Anti-Semitic" nature of Russian response, but the statement used to support this claim does not
> contain any Anti-Semitic content as far as I can tell (correct me if I am mistaken).
check the full quote, have fun. I particularly mentioned that I summarized the parts that I didn't quote.
The US involvment in Ukraine may decrease their total ability to intervene in Taiwan, however:
Ukraine has woken the US and NATO from their complacency
It has shown that artillery is still important, Western stocks are too low, and procurement is too slow. That is all being fixed.
Military ties between the US, NATO, Taiwan, Japan, South Korea, and Australia have been strengthened.
So the "Special Military Action" in Ukraine has actually primed the Western Allies to react more strongly if China invades Taiwan than they would have before. Previously they had dismissed warnings from Ukraine, Poland, and the Baltic states. That won't happen now in Taiwan.
Time isn't on China's side, unless you are talking about more than a decade from now.
Not even close
The amount of equipment the US is sending to Ukraine is spare change compared to their yearly budget (8 billion vs 157 billion)
@GAY_WEED_DAD_69 And the US munitions stock is low. Now they are sorting out the procurement process and updating the manufacturing.
"Time isn't on China's side..."
That should be _especially_ if you're talking about a decade plus; China is entering demographic free fall, courtesy of the entirely predictable (in fact, the entire point of the) One Child Policy.
@Boo Bah What can make it worse is if the US and EU move some manufacturing to India and some other places.
It doesn't have to be huge - something on the order of 10%.
Now maintaining that navy with a smaller economy doesn't look so good.
I had thoughts along this line for part of the reasoning for us pulling out of Afghanistan so quickly.
Just FYI .... my Mexican sister-in-law taught me a variation of that occupation you hate so much .... "burrocrata". Especially say it with the Spanish trilled "r" -- burrrrrocrata. It's a very satisfying word.
While I share the feeling I wouldn't say that they're dumb, they're flat out lazy
Doesn't "burro" mean donkey?
@Pechudin yes, "burrócrata" is a word play between "burócrata" (bureaucrat) and "burro" (donkey).
Burrócrata? "Donkeycrat"? That's sterling. And accurate.
The russian soldier cries out in pain as he invades yet another country. "YOU MADE ME DO THIS" he says.
What about Ukrainian soldier bombing civilians in Donbass? Who made him do this?
@Tom K yawn, try and keep up, that Kremlin talking point aged about a year ago 🙄🤡 Slava 🇺🇦! May thousands more orca fertilize the sunflowers 🌻!
@Tom K your evidence that Ukrainian are bombing civilians ?
So why is Germany short of parts for leopard 2?
Germany has spent very little on defense since unification. No country has benefitted more from Pax Americana. It's not the German Navy that ensures that German overseas exports get to where they are going...
Because they're an economic powerhouse that stopped spending on their military ever since Poland and the Baltics joined NATO.
Uschi von der Arschen had a lot to do with that. She ran military expenditure to the ground. At one point there weren't enough spare parts to keep the Eurofighter fleet in service. And that was a decade ago or so. Ripples travel far sometimes.
@CV990A was a rhetorical question
@GAY_WEED_DAD_69 no, they've kept spending on, it's just terrible, because they want an army, they just don't want to be able to do anything with it. (as stupid as it sounds)
Any companies transshiping to Russia should have there trade reduced to zero or prewar levels
You are a bit wrong stating that the great patriotic war is basically russian WW2. Because by saing that you exclude soviet involvment in WW2 from 1939 to 1941, where it basically allied with nazi germany and split eastern europe in spheres of influence. Basically the great patriotic part is soviet part of WW2 but without shady stuff done by the soviets
Also small detail in 2:46 . that panflet says "НА Украине", instead of grammatically correct "В Украине". The first one means ON the ukranian soil (Ukraine as geographical toponim, perhaps, within the russian empire, state, world or whatever), The latter means IN Ukraine (Ukraine as a state with souvernity). The russians even use this gramatical trick to deny ukranian souvernity, lol
Did they say NATO had bio labs at the front
any war gamer knows they go at the back, far far back, if the player had them, but he doesn't
The original video you had uploaded was with the map with Crimea annexed from Ukraine. Was it a mistake, was it a deliberate choice made by you? Don’t know, don’t care really. What I knew is that you were going to get grilled for it 100%. Remember, Crimea is Ukraine! Even though it is temporarily occupied by that terrorist state. The head of the state is now officially wanted.
as previously stated: " Used geolayers and was in an absolute hurry, I didn’t even notice, my other software has the pre 2014 borders."
I can change the thumbnail, not the video.
For a more insightful understanding as to how and why the world is dividing out into the collective West (about 40 countries) and the rest of the world, this links to a program in which this is all well lain out. clip-share.net/video/UFIZZb0EEOo/video.html
Putin sees himself as the embodiment of the Russian state. 😕
Because Russian State realistically doesn't exist anymore.
@TheRezro as if it ever existed. It has always been "Normally, state has a leader. In russia, leader has a state"
Right now Russia is like a Puffer fish: when it gets scared, it will “puff up” as a defense mechanism. More bluster than any substance.
Not really - they have shown that in Ukraine they sure can fight and their economics of war are very, very good.
@Tom K please get real! They called themselves the second army in the world and they are trying to conquer some small Ukrainian town of Bahmut for 9 month!!! And the economy is close to collapsing! They have a huge budget deficit and they lost their main European market, where they sold oil and gas products...
@Michael Novik they didn't call themselves that - it's a top military rating and they were named 2nd again few months ago. Your arguments are shallow - same way we could've laughed at the US army for losing their war in Afghanistan. Should we now place the US army below Taliban? Collapsing economy - that crap I heard from Biden a year ago... yeah, still collapsing. Their budget deficit isn't coming from the reduced income, but from the increased expenses, which were all allocated to the military production. Not to mention that deficit is fully covered by their monetary reserves, not the loan money EU & USA print. They lost the EU market, but are selling it on the asian markets, which then resell it to EU still, with a decent mark up. Seeing their (and others too) latest steps one would say Ukraine is not really their goal, but a tool which they use to revamp the wolrd.
Check your GDP figures. You’ll find you made a strange estimate of China’s GDP in 2022. Like 20 trilllion USD off. Not a rounding error. Love your channel, just trying to QC, not call you out.
Just one point 8-) In English, when pronouncing numbers , the numbers after the decimal point are pronounced individually e.g
123.45 is pronounced one hundred and twenty three point four , five (NOT point fourty five) .
Otherwise this is another great report ,8-)
I disagree. As a native American, I would say point forty five.
@Grizwold Phantasia I've heard people say it like "point four-five" a lot more often than I've heard "point fourty-five", but I've heard that one as well. Maybe it's a regional thing, or depends on the persons line of work (i.e. they use a lot of verbally communicated numbers on a day-to-day basis)?
That depends. Tell a machinist you want a part to be "zero point five five five five inches" in diameter, good luck with that. And tell someone "that'll be nine point nine nine dollars please" you'll probably get more strange looks than $10 bills.
@Milk Manson Well yeah, it depends on the situation. I've never heard anyone use "point" when saying prices ever, just "nine-ninety-nine". I was talking just numbers with a decimal place in isolation. Like "three point one four" for pi instead of "3 point fourteen". Either way, you get the point across.
@Milk Manson in the case of money, you are pronouncing a different unit (cents) so ninety nine would be correct, even if you truncated the message.
Australia has sent over 124 vehicles to Ukraine the 5th biggest donation
Thats not that much, really.
Thank you for making this video I know as a historian its hard to not talk about war without going into all the propaganda each country employs. I hope you know I support your videos. SLava Ukraini
>as a historian
Historian that doesn't know history apparently.
@Orz Orzelski "thank you for providing an objective analysis also slava ukraini" lmao
Curious: is there a specific reason Crimea is not colored like the rest of Ukraine in the video's thumbnail? Since the pro-occupied areas of Luhansk and Donezk are not marked occupied there seems to be something off.
Well looks like either a stupid mistake or closet imperialism.
Used geolayers and was in an absolute hurry, I didn’t even notice, my other software has the pre 2014 borders.
Oh dear, how you're gonna sleep this night...
Good status report.
Glad you enjoyed it
and thank you!
Russia loading up on inventory prior to the war almost certainly had no expectation of the utter destruction of Russian armor that has happened. In other words, that inventory, at least in some respects, is almost certainly inadequate.
Further, the armor that has been destroyed so far is heavily weighted to the best of what Russia had. Once the war is over, Russia will need to rebuild substantially the heavy majority of its primary army equipment. Though it still seems to have a couple hundred T-90s that are not (yet) destroyed.
There's no question Russia can rebuild, the real issue is rebuild to what level of quality. Obtaining commodity electronics won't be a problem, what will be a problem is specialist parts - e.g. circuitry and sensors that can withstand high-G levels, shock, etc.
Look, for instance, at the tanks that Iran and North Korea produce. They produce a lot of tanks, but no one believes such tanks are a match for competent western equipment. Russia will probably be able to produce many tanks, and the average quality will exceed that of Iran and NoKo - but matching western tech will be increasingly difficult.
It will also be made more difficult by the fact that the reputation of Russian equipment has taken a huge hit because of this war. If you're India, for instance, why bother with buying Russian? India is on the verge of being able to produce the same quality equipment itself, completely indigenously. In fact, in the not too distant future, you could imagine India being a competitor for Russian arms exports - why not?
Further, Russia's manufacturing capacity is limited. If it's going to spend the next 5-10 years rebuilding armor for itself, it won't have a lot of excess capacity to build for anyone else.
And that's a serious problem, because in the long run, if Russia doesn't have export customers, it can't afford to keep its weapons programs at world-leading levels, even if it could access the best of technology. It's an economy the size of Italy.
Russia's doctrine regarding tanks is different to the West. In the West, we see tanks as unstoppable vehicles of destruction. Russia sees tanks as Ivan and his friends' iron shirt. In the West, we count how many tanks are destroyed, in Russia they count how many tanks crews are killed.
@elmohead and that relates to what I said how?
@CV990A Russia is not concerned about interior tech. They're not concerned about sheer number
@elmohead Russia, more than almost any other military, has always been concerned with sheer numbers. As Stalin said, quantity has a quality all its own.
Russia's military-industrial complex is much different than in the West. The government essentially owns the weapons manufacturing industry. As a result there is zero profit motive involved and production costs are dirt cheap.
The Russians pay wholesale prices for their weapons. And if the Russians need to increase the rate of weapon production per month they simply can do it. Right now they have weapon plants running 24/7 to produce weapons and ammo. Not to mention they have a tight relationship with China and Iran who are supplying them with supplies needed to make weapons - if not actual weapons.
The US military is stretched thin. We have military bases all over the world to keep armed and manned. We have an ongoing conflict in Syria. After 20 years of nonstop war no one wants to join the military who has not already served. And our supply of weapons is all but depleted- we left much of it behind in Iraq and Afghanistan. We are giving much of our remaining reserve capacity to Ukraine.
Russia will have a much easier time remaining well armed than the USA will for the foreseeable future. We are in crisis mode ourselves.
It improved my country security Poland russia was only potentional threath to us and in 2023 other then nukes not so much
"Moscow has discussed using nuclear weapons to de-esculate a conflict."
Boy, if that isn't a bunch of good old Soviet BS.
Nothing about nuclear weapons will de-esculate a conflict unless both sides go MAD!
West uses the same approach though, shipping all that military stuff to Ukraine to "strengthen Ukraine's positions during the peace talks, once Russia realizes the war goes nowhere". 😅
"The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation continue the special military operation.
In Kupyansk direction, aviation and artillery of the 'Zapad' Group of Forces have engaged the units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine close to Sinkova and Kislovka (Kharkov region).
The enemy has suffered losses of up to 75 Ukrainian servicemen, an infantry fighting vehicle, three motor vehicles, four Gvozdika self-propelled howitzers, and one MT-12 anti-tank gun during the day.
In Krasny Liman direction, active actions by units of the 'Tsentr' Group of Forces and artillery fire inflicted damage on the manpower and equipment of the enemy near Yampolovka (Donetsk People's Republic) and Nevskoye (Lugansk People's Republic).
More than 95 Ukrainian troops, two armoured fighting vehicles, two pick-up trucks, an Akatsiya self-propelled artillery system, a D-30 howitzer, and a U.S.-made M777 artillery system have been neutralised in this area during the day.
In Donetsk direction, actions of the 'Yug' Group of Forces supported by artillery close to Zaliznyanskoye, Krasnoye, and Tonenkoye (Donetsk People's Republic) have eliminated up to 150 Ukrainian troops, three tanks, two armoured fighting vehicles, four pick-up trucks, two motor vehicles, a D-20 howitzer, one Gvozdika self-propelled artillery unit, one MT-12 anti-tank gun, as well as two U.S.-made M777 artillery systems in the past 24 hours.
In South Donetsk and Zaporozhye directions, aviation and artillery of the 'Vostok' Group of Forces inflicted fire damage on the AGU units close to Prechistovka (Donetsk People's Republic) and Uspenovka (Zaporozhye region).
The enemy suffered up to 60 Ukrainian troops, two armoured fighting vehicles, three pick-up trucks, three motor vehicles, and one D-20 howitzer in these directions during the day.
An ammunition depot of the 72nd Mechanised Brigade of the Ukrainian Armed Forces has been hit close to Vodyanoye (Donetsk People's Republic).
In Kherson direction, more than 40 Ukrainian servicemen, three armoured fighting vehicles, three motor vehicles, two Gvozdika self-propelled artillery guns, and one Akatsiya self-propelled howitzer have been eliminated during the day.
Operational-Tactical and Army aviation, Missile Troops and Artillery of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation have neutralised 78 AFU artillery units at their firing positions, enemy manpower and hardware in 142 areas.
One Olkha multiple rocket launcher has been destroyed near Kazachya Lopan (Kharkov region).
One Ukrainian combat vehicle for Uragan MRLS has been destroyed near Dalneye (Donetsk People's Republic).
Moreover, U.S.-made AN/TPQ-36 and AN/TPQ-37 counter-battery radar stations were annihilated near Dobropolye and Klinovoye (Donetsk People's Republic).
Fighter aviation of Russian Aerospace Forces has shot down one MiG-29 airplane of Ukrainian Air Force near Krasnoarmeysk (Donetsk People's Republic).
Air defence forces have intercepted 23 HIMARS, Smerch, and Uragan MLRS shells during the day.
In addition, seventeen Ukrainian unmanned aerial vehicles were shot down close to Novaya Zburyevka, Golaya Pristan (Kherson region), Kremennaya, Varvarovka, Zhitlovka (Lugansk People's Republic), Valeryanovka, Kyrillovka, Volnovakha, Volodino and the Mendrykino railway station (Donetsk People's Republic), as well as Mezhirich (Zaporozhye region).
In total, 401 airplanes and 220 helicopters, 3,418 unmanned aerial vehicles, 412 air defence missile systems, 8,293 tanks and other armoured fighting vehicles, 1,057 combat vehicles equipped with MLRS, 4,350 field artillery cannons and mortars, as well as 8,924 units of special military equipment have been destroyed during the special military operation."
Russian Defence Ministry Report for Tuesday 14th March 2023
Marijuana may not be legal in the Russian Federation, but nonetheless, it's use is clearly endemic.
Дідько when did I start living in major historical event
it isnt. not yet at least.
Bernhard, how will mobilisation affect Russia’s war effort? Can Ukraine amass enough troops to hold them off?
Short answer yes. We do know that Ukraine has reserves (despite what paid media claim), when Russia can't effectively equip they current forces. Furthermore despite what Russian propaganda say, mobilization has immense impact on they operations.
@TheRezro hey man thanks. But what about after say a year or two when everyone has been called up?
@Noel Gallagher’s Magic Pies From where? Ukrainians would defend own land no matter what happen. It is Russia's call to end this crime or they would destroy themselves. NATO is literally not there.
Ukraine had more troops than Russia when the conflict started but Russia had the element of surprise. Ukraine was able to use numerical superiority for keason and lyman offensives. Russia's 1st and now continuing mobilization has since stabilized the front and given them the numbers to pin Ukrainian forces down and start slowly start advancing again. Russia's private military groups like wagner have been used to keep the offensive going in the donbass while other units were restored. Then in February the Russian army started advancing in 5 places putting pressure on an looking for a breech in the Ukrainian defenses. With Ukraine's lack of counter attacks and slow withdrawals its safe to say they are starting to get outnumbered and suffer lack of consistent supplies.
No. To make it brief Ukraine is seven rounds in. Russia is still one and a half.
I keep missing the rock 'n roll Outro. So, is it WW3 yet, or the Spanish-Civil war?
More like the Sino Japanese War, I think... like Imperial Japan Putin's Russia has started what was supposed to be a short, easy conflict and found itself in a long, difficult war.
The India government has its own issues. The current Indian Government is doing a bang up job of preparing their country for Civil War. Namely, they keep enraging the Punjabis every so often. India will need military hardware and the support for the Punjabi people is stronger in the West. That pretty much, despite everything, means that India's government is Pro-Russian by default.
But that position will be difficult to maintain as it is clear that the Indian Military desires Western Weapons which are battle harden and proven. To say nothing of being Technologically more advanced than the Russian designs. More than that, there is an increasing disconnect between the Indian Government and the Indian Military in several matters.
The general populous of India is also increasingly becoming unhappy, to put it mildly, with the current Government of India. Chances are, if the Indian Government was to suddenly change, we will see India vote to condemn Russia instead of supporting it.
That we will have to wait and see.
Keep dreaming lol. Nobody's enraging the Punjabis. In fact, Sikhs make up for one of the largest groups within the Indian military, and are very well integrated within the Indian society. There are notorious elements propped up by our oh so dear neighbour that do create trouble every now and then. This is literally coming from someone that was brought up in Punjab, & has spent over half their life in the same state. Almost my entire circle is Punjabi folks. Militancy has been rejected by our state after a long, pointless insurgency. The dregs of "separatism" reside abroad, and even there are a minority, albeit a loud, obnoxious one.
As for the latter, Indian government has taken a neutral stance, and cannot afford to take an anti-Russia stance, owing to serious, albeit waning, dependencies on Russian military hardware. We've been getting Western equipment regardless, and the Indian position is well understood by Western governments, if not the civilians that consume whatever bullc--p their media hurls at them. US literally just voted to enhance defence ties with India to help alleviate the dependencies on Russia. Mind you, the Indian government is a democratically elected one, not one I'm a fan of, but a legitimate one still. "Regime change" attempts by haughty, ignorant "powers" will make an Iran our of India, diplomatically speaking, at a time the West desperately needs India to help contain China. And no, whatever government comes to power, India cannot at this point afford to alienate Russia, with two rogue nuclear nations sitting at our borders. So it's best to stop living in whatever fantasy world you've cooked up there.
Lastly, the Indian military is a professional, apolitical force, and serves the civilian leadership. No amount of subterfuge or "disconnect" will result in a "sudden change of government". The prospects of that would be as wild as the prospects of a military coup in Europe or the US.
Here's a short reply for your long comment. If we Indians hadn't opposed the US invasion of Iraq, why should we oppose the Russian invasion of Ukraine now?
@Yashwant Singh Rawat Because the USA wasn't launching Missiles into people's homes just because we were suffering a military defeat.
We learned and got better. Come hell or high water.
I'd like to see you justify how exactly supporting Ukraine weakens the US ability to support Taiwan. The two theaters are very different and the munitions being shipped to Ukraine do not heavily overlap with what would be needed to support Taiwan.
If Taiwan is attacked they will need massive amounts of artillery, air defence missiles, ATGMs, and other important stuff that we are already sending to Ukraine. We have not come close to running out of this equipment, but our stocks are still going down, and we must maintain stocks for contingencies.
The biggest issue imo is the air defence missiles and systems
@Teejin If/when Taiwan is attacked, China will first of all need to get there. Artillery, etc - all downstream from actually getting to Taiwan. China can fire missiles, but artillery is not needed to respond to those.
@cv990a4 true, but my main point about air defense missiles and systems still stands.
@Teejin OK, but what have we sent to Ukraine that prevents the US from defending such things? You seem to be under the impression that we've denuded the US to help Ukraine, whereas we've mostly just sent some older second-string stuff.
Good approach. But you forgot the most important thing. In 2014, the US violently overthrew the elected government: Maidan scenario. After that, the USA stole all of Ukraine's gold reserves and militarily upgraded the same to wage the current proxy war. In addition, over 12,000 people have been murdered by the Ukrainian army and foreign mercenaries in the Donbass region over the past 8 years. Civilians working in the fields, children in schools, etc. By snipers and artillery fire. Either reveal everything or nothing. Because only saying a part and hiding from the others is just lying.
South Africa is a interesting dynamic. As as a nation its falling apart and the west is begining to sour with them over racist treatment of Dutch farmers and the white minority.
The word "emphasise" is in modern american pronounced as emfasaiz.
Wait, that's the noun you're speaking of. The verb is still pronounced as em-fay-size.
@Adarsh Singh "em-fay-size" Im sory I cant read giberish. Tho looking at it I have made a mistake in my writing.
End the conflict by the Soviet Union...I mean Russia getting completely out of Ukraine and Ukraine allowing the Soviet Union... again I mean Russia, the use of Sebastopol as a naval base.
Hell, give them a 99 year lease. That's what they've been fighting for to begin with in the first place, a place for their navy to operate out of in the Black Sea.
So return to 2013 then
Not quite. One of the things the Soviet Union (I mean Russia) gets it's panties all bunched up about is having Black Sea access for it's navy.
Ukraine could agree to lease it like other countries lease ports.
That doesn't mean Russia owns Crimea just has military access and if there's a problem, then Ukraine would end the lease taking back the port.
Just a thought.
That speech really emphasizes how breathtaking Russia's inferiority complex when it comes to the US is. They so desperately want to be our peer, and the fact that we don't treat them as equals must REALLY chap their asses. I love it.
Speaking about India, the map of Africa is shown.
Regardless of your position in the war, the Russian perspective cannot be fully explained by merely citing two sources, both which where not meant to provide a complete and detailed retelling of the history of the regions in conflict in the first place. Thus, the first 7 minutes of the video are could be either a "filler", a justification for the global support for Ukraine, or a mere segment of "two minutes of hate", but they are far from a value free analysis. Its relevancy is echoed in the video's summary: Putin's speech is only referenced as a way of demonstrating Russian acknowledgment of global financial support, which is already well documented.
It seems there is no escape from virtue signalling propaganda repackaged in the form of "military analysis", I have yet to find a non biased channel.
Channels from developed countries will mostly be biased towards defending the US opinion.
Bernhard, please check your email box, I've sent you a letter almost a week ago. :)
Thanks, got it! I currently swamped with work sorry.
@Military History Visualized Very good. :)
I was worried that my message got lost under a pile of new mail, before you saw it.
I learnt pretty quickly Ukraines global importance was greatly exaggerated. I knew nothing about the place before the war and I now know why I knew nothing about it. Its literally a backwater that contributes nothing to the rest of the world. And don't mention wheat cause my country produces 85% of its own wheat and imports the rest from North America.
Ah, if YOUR country does not need Ukrainian wheat, then Ukraine contributes nothing to the rest of the world. I think I see a tiny, tiny flaw in that reasoning.
Don't worry about it, Russia will do a better job with Ukraine when it's Russian again.
Not in a million years 😆
durrrrr cuz Nazis durrrrrr.
What about turkey?
Let's go Brandon. Only his voters and supporters should be forced into the draft once WW3 starts because of these warmongers
Oh, and Republicans are all hippie peacenicks all of a sudden?!
I didn't vote for him but I stand with Ukraine on this
Standing with our friends against naked aggression is warmongering now?
Is there a reason that Africa is the background for the section talking about India?
We need to supply enough equiptment to make Putin give up.
300 tanks now
im confused, why are the borders of India shown as vaguely defined, whilst borders of other countries with disputed zones, not?
dunno, I probably selected a different style.
It just regional war . Like Yaman vs Saudi Arabia
how did NATO refer to the regime change in Libya? Could the US/British war against Iraq be considered a criminal act? US presently occupies Syria. Why is this not a sanctionable offense?
It's called American exceptionalism
What about Latin America?
Just a minor info i do not know the exact numbers but look like India hase more population now as Chine. On the other side the chines economy have more reserve as india.
Yes, it does.
Please do a video on tactics in the Korean war
And more unit videos
Mein Gott serh interessant video
23:52 NOPE. The biggest limit for the US regarding Taiwan would be if Ukraine lost the war!
Well it is now almost certain Ukraine will loose.
In that list of countries that fought against Russia, they have Poland, but fail to mention that it was Russia (then the Soviet Union) who invaded!
Unfortunately even in the 'West" many forget about Stalin who started WW2 together with Hitler.
I am not trying to justify Germany back then but world war can not be started only by one nation.
never heard of 1918-1921? ok
@Fighter 2019 you're right, it was Stalin's appeasing policy that fed Austria & Czechoslovakia to Hitler pushing him further to east, and it was Stalin who refused to agree on a security pact against Germany before WW2.
re 2m06s, he forgot a few names like, say, Finland but more importantly Switzerland. When the Swiss join in on sanctions, even if they do it kind of halfassed, then maybe it's time to start asking... AITA?
well, no state wants to ask it to themselves. because the answer is more likely than not ESH or INFO.
In Russian language, «негр» isn’t black. It’s a slur, literally n-word.
Are you sure those GDPs numbers correct on India, China and the U.S.?
17:26, where the heck did you get that China's GDP is $39 trillion? even by PPP it's not that much!
Not sure why crimea isn’t on the map.
Why did you put China as having a higher GDP than the US? Has this happened yet?
Only in PPP terms
The Czech republic or Czechoslovakia have never been at war with Russia. If you don't count the illegal Soviet invasion of 1968 that is XD
LOL!!! Ol' Vlad is so full of it, he needs to go to the toilet! LOLOL!!!
analysiert von einem ungarischen Professor clip-share.net/video/TAmpu8zicLc/video.html
So, you know what the Ukraine war doesn't have in common with the Great Patriotic War and the Patriotic War? No foreign troops standing on the outskirts of Moscow. We could do Putin a favor...
Times have changed, weapons today have ranges over 100-300km, both sides showed that repeatedly in this conflict, so your comment makes no sense.
@Tomas Sejkora It's called a "joke". Look it up, they're fun.
@steveXracer did the jet not attempt to dump fuel on it, before setting it on fire with afterburners? Also, Russia would be absolutely obliterated by the military of europe, without the assistance of the United States.
@steveXracer sure, and I'm the Tsar of all the Russias.
When you're on day 400 of a three day special operation and your closest propaganda 'victory' is getting two buildings closer to taking a village of 15,000, I guess you need to pretend you're fighting the entire world at once to pretend you aren't a complete clown.
Name checks out
@Ultra super mega kek I would say your name is more fitting.
It's weird seeing Russian tanks full of stolen goods, like clothes, tvs, toys stuff like that just basics not the golden bars or works of art that's the weird part.
It's only weird for someone who never saw how people live in Russia outside of big cities.
@Saint Celestine For which there is no good reason. Russia has a lot of money, but the most unequal society on earth. Putin could have substantially raised standard of living of his people, but apparently has no interest in that.
@CV990Adose not change that they want toilets and washing machines 😉
The Russians have run off with gold & art too, its just that they only took one major city intact, Kherson, which had this kind of loot in significant amount, that wasn’t evacuated. It seems like a major figure in the civil defence plan for Kherson was paid off by the SVR and instead of activating the city’s defence plan he packed up his cash and headed West, confident Ukraine would fall quickly. The Kremlin were likely briefed by the SVR that they had done this in many Ukrainian border cities, hence Putin’s idiotic initial appeal for Ukrainian’s to “peacefully join” the Russian invaders. Those payments vanished, either to the Russian agents, Ukrainian officials that concealed them or turned them over to Ukrainian security services 🤷🏻♀️ The outcome was the arrest of the SVR Ukraine section (about 30 officers), the re-assigning of their work to the FSB and the dismissal of some Ukrainian officials, once the Russian Northern & Kharkiv offensives failed. Read into that what you will, but the Ukrainian acts were also part of major anti-corruption drive by Kyiv, so its speculation based on human nature and levels of corruption each state is dealing (or not dealing) with. Putin of course was planning to run off with the whole Ukrainian economy, which is not small potatoes.
@Ms Zee Zed Let's hope the person who betrayed Kherson Oblast comes to an unpleasant end.
China doesn't have $39 trillion GDP.....
2:54 the text actually uses the n-word instead of "the blacks"
The "n-word" actually means black in Spanish (unless Google translate isn't working that is).
It's insane how weak Russia is. Modern warfare 2009 had them taking over the East Coast 😂😂😂
1 key thing to know about the Ukraine war, since before the war begun, there was that russian military buildup on the border of Ukraine, and any NATO military analyst knew their purpose, to intervene in Ukraine(because there was a war already going on there but i will get to it in a sec), now since Ukraine is neighbouring NATO, the representatives of NATO could have intervened before the Russians went in and say, "hey guys we know you want to kill each other, but hostilities on our border could lead to dead NATO citizens and that would also drag us into this war, and that would mean WW3"(now we actually got 2 dead civilians in Poland by a ukrainian AA missile, which anyone who know his military stuff knows how hard it is for such a missile to be blow off course, which easily explains how the missile in Poland was a false flag attack by Ukraine, but hey, who am i to challenge the narrative that the media has spent so much time building up), and with the threat of nuclear annihilation looming both sides would have backed down, even if Putin is the crazed bloodthirsty maniac everyone is making him out to be, he would have had no other choice in the face of mutually assured destruction, simply because like any other human being he doesnt want to die, so NATO could have from the very start prevented this war, or at least put an end to it the moment it begun. But NATO didnt do that, they actually let the war play out, but as i mentioned there was a war in Ukraine before the Russians intervened, in case there are still people believing theer was not, Jens Stoltenberg, the representative of NATO said in his interview during the last NATO summit that the war in Ukraine started in 2014 and NATO has been supporting Ukraine since then, so we know for certain that there was a war in Ukraine before the Russian intervention. Now, there is that war going on in Ukraine for around 8 years and it has never made it to single news outlet, literally 99% of europeans had no clue that there was a war going on in the continent, but the day Russia goes in, you see headlines everywhere saying, "WAR IN THE HEART OF EUROPE", is it that hard to see that theres an agenda at work ? and nowhere in that agenda does it say save or help Ukraine, NATO's purpose we are told is to preserve peace in Europe but when war broke out in Ukraine in 2015, NATO didnt try to put an end to it, instead they escelated and kept escalating to the point where they invited Russia in. When it comes to Putin, im no fan either, but NATO is the cancer of the world, and that should be more than obvious by now. Theres nothing constructive about the pot calling the kettle black, but since the start of the conflict thats what we western citizens do, which is so ironic considering that in wars the ones who lose their property and their lives are the ordinary citizens and in my opinion if you re not directly under threat or directly benefiting from the war(news media,weapons contractors and all those bright fellas) you should always no matter what be in favour of peace over war.
Appreciate you as Ukranian but maybe you wanted to say that so-called "ukranian AA rocket in Poland" was false-flag attack by Russia?
By the way, if even that was Ukraine's rocket it tried to kill russian 'offensive' rocket. And if I remember it correctly there were 2 rockets fell in Poland. So it seems like Ukranian side tried to annihilate russian rocket in the Polish sky.
Unfortunately 2 civilians died.
But anyway thank you for your support. And it is very good that there are people who try to keep their own mind despite of propaganda.
Notification squad 🔔 here
A lot of this is propaganda and a lot of this is true. Same as from the other side - pro Ukraine, a lot is true but a lot is pure propaganda.
Just to give the help (weapons only) to Ukraine - currently at over 60B -- this is about half of Lend - lease help during WWII that Soviets got adjusted to today's $$$. I.e. Ukraine is getting about 2x+ the aid Soviets got against Germany. Combined with other aid it is more like 4x.
this isnt the great patriotic war 2.0 this is the winter war 2.0 or russo-japanese war 3.0
I'd compare it to being on a hunting range and not being entirely sure you're on the right side.
@Zachariah Jonah Maldonadonot only that but you're out there with chris kyle's friend (the one who shot him)
Karafuto is japanese.